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Worst case scenario

www.miep.us/home/worst-case-scenario

The beauty of the tall trees and the natural privacy of being surrounded by water are just two reasons that most of us have chosen to live on Marrowstone Island. But these two facts make us uniquely vulnerable to a major event. Fallen trees could damage our homes, block our roads and take down our power and telephone lines. Being an island could partially or totally isolate us from the peninsula and outside services. We could lose the bridge, the causeway, or most of the boats to a major event. Local, State and Federal aid could be unavailable to us for anywhere from days to a month or more.

Regardless of the source of the emergency, it is prudent that we design our Marrowstone Island Emergency Preparedness (EP) plan using ALL of the events described in this worst case scenario below.

What if we just experienced a 9.0 earthquake (Cascadia Subduction Zone) lasting for 2 minutes at 3 AM on the coldest (12 degrees) day of the year with 16 inches of snow and 30 mph winds? It might look like the following ...


Emergency event
How it affects us
 How long
Island coordinators will use a data base (to be described below) to locate ...
1
Utility poles are down
no power
2-4 wks
alternate power sources
2
Communication cables damaged
no telephone service
2-4 wks 
alternate communication equipment
3
Cell phone tower(s) are down or not working
no cell phone service
2-4 wks 
alternate communication equipment
4
Bridge has been closed or collapsed, and/or the causeway is destroyed
no access to/from the peninsula, no ambulances, no fire trucks, no fuel deliveries, no mail, ...
2 days - a year 
  usable boats and island fire and medical resources
5
Tsunami
destroys most boats, Nordland store and PT waterfront
 
usable boats and island resources
6
Trees down
roads blocked, houses damaged
2-4 wks 
temporary shelter
7
Major events
no local, State or Federal aid 
2-4 wks 
island resources
8
Any major event
injuries
 
island emergency responders

 Emergency Preparedness can make all the difference.

Please join your neighbors and other Islanders in this effort by hosting or attending a MYN (Map Your Neighborhood) meeting.

Please get and regularly test an FRS radio (and/or become a HAM), because radio communication will be critical.  


Emergency events on MI

Recent articles about worst case scenarios and the Cascadia Subduction Zone.

  1. 12/3/2014 - KOMO - An eerie quiet at NW fault where 'big one' may shake
  2. 4/3/2014 - ABC News - Fault System Off West Coast Poses Greater Mega Quake Risk Than San Andreas
  3. 3/27/2104 - Seattle PI - 50th anniversary warning: A megathrust quake like Alaska’s 9.2 will hit Seattle
  4. 3/10/2013Planning for the megaquake, and after The Seattle Times The economic impact of a magnitude 9.0 quake on the offshore fault called the Cascadia Subduction Zone is estimated at $49 billion in Washington and $32 ...
  5. 4/10/2011 - KOMO TV aired a comprehensive show on Sunday, April 10 titled ‘What If?’.  What if a major earthquake hit the Seattle area?  What if a tsunami followed? Would you be prepared? Do you know what to do to stay as safe as possible and to survive a potentially catastrophic event?   If you missed it, the full show can be found at www.komonews.com/whatif

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